Analyzing the Indiana Pacers shift in three-point strategy
The Indiana Pacers have some small changes this season, particularly in their approach to three-point shooting. I’ve noticed a shift in their shot selection which could have implications for their overall performance.
Three-point attempts: A decline in numbers
The Pacers three-point attempt rate has noticeably decreased compared to last season. Despite having talented shooters, the team hasn’t been taking as many shots from beyond the arc. Last year, they averaged 35 three-point attempts per game, but this season, they haven’t reached that number in regulation play once. This decline is puzzling, especially considering the presence of players who can create and convert these opportunities.
When I asked head coach Rick Carlisle about this, he acknowledged the need for more three-point attempts. The Pacers currently rank 24th in the league with 32 attempts per game, a figure that includes overtime periods. Without those extra minutes, they’d likely be among the bottom five teams in attempts. This raises questions about what shots they’re taking instead and whether this shift is intentional or a result of other factors.
Shot selection: A shift to mid-range
Digging deeper into the Pacers shot selection, it’s clear that their overall shot attempts are down, partly due to an increase in free throw attempts. However, their three-point attempt rate has dropped by 1.8%, and their shots at the rim have decreased by 1.7%. These changes suggest a shift away from the most efficient scoring areas.
Instead, the Pacers have increased their mid-range and long two-point attempts. This season, 13.3% of their shots come from the 10 to 16-foot range, up from 9.4% last year. Similarly, long twos have risen from 4.7% to 7%. While some players like Pascal Siakam and Andrew Nembhard excel from these zones, the overall trend is concerning. NBA teams generally aim for more efficient shots at the rim and beyond the arc.
This shift might be a result of personnel changes, such as the addition of Siakam and the departure of Buddy Hield. Siakam’s proficiency in the mid-range could justify some of this change, but it’s crucial for the Pacers to balance their shot selection to maintain offensive efficiency.
The Pacers offense has looked clunky at times, and they need to focus on driving to the basket and creating more opportunities at the rim. A 6% shift in shot distribution from efficient to less efficient areas can significantly impact their performance, especially in close games.
For more insights and a deeper dive into the Pacers evolving strategy, tune into the Locked On Pacers podcast for this and much more.
Other Topics in Today’s Locked On Pacers Podcast:
- Evaluating the Pacers starting lineup and potential changes
- The impact of Pascal Siakam’s mid-range game
- Analyzing the Pacers defensive performance
- Upcoming matchup vs Pelicans and what to expect from the team
