David Ramiland Wes Goldberg here, the hosts of the daily Locked On Heat podcast, with your daily Locked On Heat newsletter. Each day we bring you the biggest stories about the Heat and the NBA, including the hottest links to other stories you need to read. Plus, Josh Lloyd delivers daily fantasy notes to crush your league.
Miami Heat’s Winning Formula: A New Lineup and Renewed Energy
Dec 7, 2024; Miami, Florida, USA; Miami Heat center Bam Adebayo (13) celebrates with guard Tyler Herro (14) after Herro made a three-point basket against the Phoenix Suns during the second half at Kaseya Center. Mandatory Credit: Jim Rassol-Imagn Images | Jim Rassol/Jim Rassol-Imagn Images
The Heat’s new starting lineup, featuring Tyler Herro, Jimmy Butler, Duncan Robinson, Haywood Highsmith, and Bam Adebayo, has been a revelation. This combination has outscored opponents by 20.8 points per 100 possessions, leading to a 7-2 record. Highsmith, affectionately dubbed “The Locksmith,” has been a defensive powerhouse, effectively shutting down opposing players and contributing significantly to Miami’s success.
Balancing Offense and Defense
One of the key challenges for Miami has been finding a balance between offense and defense, especially with Herro and Robinson on the court. Historically, their defensive weaknesses have been a liability, but recent games have shown improvement. The Heat’s defensive rating of 104.2 would rank them among the top five in the NBA, a testament to their progress.
Offensive Explosion
Miami’s offense has been firing on all cylinders, with an impressive 125 points per 100 possessions. This offensive surge is partly due to the team’s five-out strategy, which has created more space for players like Jimmy Butler to operate. The Heat are also shooting an astounding 71% at the rim, up from 58%, thanks to improved spacing and strategic adjustments.
Looking Ahead
With a 12-10 record, the Heat are currently fifth in the Eastern Conference. Their upcoming schedule includes games against Toronto, Detroit, and Orlando, among others. These matchups present an opportunity for Miami to solidify their position and potentially climb the standings.
Bench Contributions and Rotation Adjustments
The Heat have settled on a nine-man rotation, with Dru
Smith, Terry Rozier, Jaime Jaquez Jr., and Kevin Love providing valuable minutes off the bench. Rozier, in particular, has thrived in his new role, shooting 50% in the fourth quarter and becoming a reliable scoring option.
Future Prospects
As the season progresses, the Heat are focused on building habits and refining their strategies. With a promising lineup and a deep bench, Miami is poised to make a significant impact in the Eastern Conference. The team’s ability to adapt and find the right combinations will be crucial as they aim to avoid the play-in tournament and secure a strong playoff position.
Stay tuned to Locked on Heat for more insights and analysis as the Miami Heat continue their journey through the NBA season.
Oklahoma City Thunder guard Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (2) shoots over Dallas Mavericks guard Luka Doncic (77) during the first quarter in game six of the second round of the 2024 NBA playoffs at American Airlines Center. | Kevin Jairaj/Kevin Jairaj-USA TODAY Sports
Whether you’re an NBA Cup convert or still a little dubious about the necessity of the in-season tournament, a primer might help. For one, the format has grown slightly less confusing moving into the eight team, single-elimination round — win or go home is pretty simple to follow. And if you’re hoping to soak up all the basketball you can in the minimal stretch of it through the next 10 days of Cup contention, you’re stuck with the tournament.
Let’s look at the four teams hitting the floor tonight.
Orlando Magic vs. Milwaukee Bucks
The Magic were delivered a particularly cruel blow to what’s been a hybrid Cinderella and simultaneously gritty season, with Franz Wagner’s injury. Wagner is out with a torn right oblique, the same injury the Magic’s star and his running mate, Paolo Banchero, is out with. Wagner’s timeline is indefinite, while Banchero is gearing up for a return, but there’s a slim chance it will come within the In-Season’s tournaments bounds. The Magic don’t want nor have any reason to rush things.
That said, this team has shown a next man up mentality in its extremes. What’s usually a coach-coded turn of phrase is taken literally by Orlando’s roster. On Sunday against the Suns, Goga Bitadze put up 21 points, Jalen Suggs had 26, Cole Anthony chipped in 14 and Franz Wagner’s elder brother, Moritz Wagner, came up with 10. All down the roster, everyone is doing a little bit of everything, and while the frustration is certainly there in losing two of their best players, it’s not what’s fuelling their effort.
The Bucks won’t be an easy team to beat, but the Magic will throw everything at them.
The Bucks are coming off a losing skid, beating the Nets over the weekend, are playing at home, and have gone undefeated in tournament games. Gary Trent Jr., who started the season off quiet, has looked great and Bobby Portis, who some fans have felt a cooling off for, is still filling the gaps where his team needs him to. Giannis Antetokounmpo and Damian Lillard have averaged 29.3 points in tournament play, and Khris Middleton is back to round out that arsenal of very deep shooting.
Still, they find a unique matchup with the Magic though, given that Orlando’s defence allows the least amount of threes in the league. Even short-handed, the Magic will be pushing Milwaukee’s shooting threats as far out as they can, or else double- and triple-teaming them.
Dallas Mavericks vs. Oklahoma City Thunder
The Mavs have found their footing after a slippery start to the season, winning seven of their last eight matches. Simultaneously, Luka Doncic was named Western Conference Player of the Week — he’s been averaging 29.3 points, 11.7 rebounds and 8.3 assists per game over the last week.
The last time the Mavs and Thunder faced each other, OKC was short Chet Holmgren, Alex Caruso, and Isaiah Hartenstein and the Mavs were with Doncic. Now, all but Holmgren are back on the floor on what’s going to be a fun, potentially chippy, and playoff preview style game.
Doncic is traditionally loathe to hide his in-game reactions and mood, while the Thunder’s Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is unreadable, cool as anything partially as a way to further frustrate opponents. The two of them face-to-face, given their signature handles, disruptive flow, and steps ahead playmaking makes for a compelling matchup with an extra layer of body language translation.
The one weakness OKC has that the Mavs can capitalize on is bullying Hartenstein and hoping for early foul trouble. As the big man’s come back into the Thunder’s typical small-ball rotation, he’s been getting into foul trouble. It’s been manageable, but the Mavs will be looking to press it.
Both these teams are at different points in their competitive trajectories; the Mavs have felt a regression while the Thunder are finally and fully surging with confidence and the skill to back it up. It feels a little like a contested passing of the West’s proverbial torch, with OKC hungry for it and Dallas’ loathe to give it up. It’ll be good basketball.
Katie Heindl is a credentialed NBA and WNBA writer, her bylines have appeared with The New York Times Magazine, SLAM, The Athletic, Yahoo Sports, Dime, Rolling Stone, among others. She writes the bestselling Substack, Basketball Feelings and is working on a book of the same name.
Home and Away
Honor Miami Heat’s Tyler Herro was named NBA Player of the Week, marking a significant milestone in his career after a stellar performance. (All U Can Heat)
Rumor A trade proposal suggests the Miami Heat might trade a fan favorite to acquire a veteran guard, stirring up speculation among fans. (Sports Illustrated)
Roster Another trade proposal involves the Miami Heat acquiring a dominant big man in a risky trade with a division rival, potentially reshaping the team’s dynamics. (Sports Illustrated)
Must Read How the Raptors’ RJ Barrett ended up exactly where he needs to be. (SportsNet)
Thursday, Dec. 12 | 7:30PM | Kaseya Center, Miami, FL | Get Tickets
Heat @ Pistons
Monday, Dec. 16 | 7:00PM | Little Caesars Arena, Detroit, MI | Get Tickets
Thunder @ Heat
Friday, Dec. 20 | 8:00PM | Kaseya Center, Miami, FL | Get Tickets
Fantasy Cheat Sheet
NBA Cup Quarterfinals: Key Fantasy Basketball Streaming Strategies
Dec 8, 2024; Orlando, Florida, USA; Orlando Magic guard Cole Anthony (50) dribbles the ball against the Phoenix Suns in the second quarter at Kia Center. Mandatory Credit: Jeremy Reper-Imagn Images | Jeremy Reper/Jeremy Reper-Imagn Images
As we gear up for the NBA Cup quarterfinals, it’s crucial to identify where the streaming value lies for fantasy basketball enthusiasts. With only two games on Tuesday, the schedule is light, but the potential for strategic plays is significant.
Orlando Magic vs. Milwaukee Bucks
The Orlando Magic face off against the Milwaukee Bucks, with the Bucks entering as seven-point favourites. The Magic are dealing with significant injuries, with Paolo Banchero, Franz Wagner, and Gary Harris out, while Jonathan Isaac is questionable. This opens up opportunities for Cole Anthony, who is expected to step up in the absence of key players. Anthony’s scoring potential makes him a valuable addition to your fantasy roster, especially with the Magic needing someone to fill the scoring void.
On the Bucks’ side, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Khris Middleton, and MarJon Beauchamp are listed as probable.
Dallas Mavericks vs. Oklahoma City Thunder
The Dallas Mavericks take on the Oklahoma City Thunder in what promises to be an exciting matchup. The Thunder are slight favourites, and both teams have straightforward schedules, playing Tuesday and then either Saturday or Sunday, depending on the outcome.
The status of Paul Washington Jr. and Naji Marshall is uncertain, which could lead to increased minutes for players like Spencer Dinwiddie and Quentin Grimes.
Click the button below to get more tips on streaming options for this week of action.
Don’t let these episodes pass you by — stay locked in with the latest Locked On Heat podcasts.
How Starting Lineup Decision Has Turned the Miami Heat’s Season Around The Miami Heat have won three straight games, and the new starting lineup has been among the best in the NBA. Wes Goldberg and David Ramil ask if the Heat’s recent success is sustainable, what they expect to change and what key lineup changes are fueling their win streak. They also explore Terry Rozier’s future and reimagine the Heat’s ceiling.
Can Miami Heat Maintain Momentum After Cleveland Cavaliers Win? Can the Miami Heat maintain their momentum after a stunning victory over the Cleveland Cavaliers? With Tyler Herro’s explosive 34-point performance and Jimmy Butler’s consistent play, the Heat are making waves in the NBA. Explore how the Miami Heat’s recent triumph against the Cavaliers showcases their evolving strategy and key player contributions. Wes Goldberg and David Ramil break down the impact of Bam Adebayo’s defensive prowess and Dru Smith’s emerging role. The discussion also touches on Nikola Jovic’s current standing in the rotation and coach Erik Spoelstra’s tactical decisions.
Heat Offense Erups, Lakers Meltdown, Herro Kickstarts All-Star Campaign The Miami Heat blew out the Los Angeles Lakers in Miami on Wednesday night, forcing LeBron James, Anthony Davis and JJ Redick to take a hard look in the mirror. Meanwhile, Tyler Herro went off for 31 points, including making seven 3s in the third quarter, to kickstart his 2025 NBA All-Star campaign in front of a national audience. Wes Goldberg and David Ramil react to the game, ask how the Heat broke the Lakers, and what it means for the next part of their season
