Pelicans’ Strategic Dilemma: To Tank or Not to Tank?

Pelicans 11-19

Image by Patrick Gorski-Imagn Images

In the fiercely competitive Western Conference, the New Orleans Pelicans face a critical decision: should they tank the season or push for a playoff spot? As a dedicated Pelicans insider, I find myself torn between the allure of a high draft pick and the potential of a healthy roster making a late-season surge.

The Case Against Tanking

Currently sitting at 4-10, the Pelicans are just three games shy of the 10th seed, which would secure them a spot in the Play-In tournament. Despite the rough start, the Western Conference remains open, with several teams like the Portland Trail Blazers and San Antonio Spurs expected to falter. The Los Angeles Clippers and Dallas Mavericks are also struggling, leaving room for the Pelicans to climb the standings.

The return of key players like CJ McCollum, Herb Jones, and Jordan Hawkins could be the catalyst for a winning streak. Historically, the Pelicans have shown they can string together victories, as evidenced by their seven-game winning streak in the 2022-2023 season. With a fully healthy roster, including Zion Williamson, the team has the talent to compete with the best.

Evaluating the Big Men

The Pelicans recently recalled Karlo Matkovic from the G League, signaling a potential shake-up in the rotation. Yves Missi has solidified his role as the starting center, providing consistent defense and rebounding. His presence is crucial, especially with the anticipated return of defensive stalwarts like Dejounte Murray and Jones.

Daniel Theis, who started the season strong, has seen his minutes dwindle. His effectiveness is closely tied to Williamson’s presence on the court, and without Zion, Theis’s impact diminishes. Trey Jemison has stepped in, offering size and rebounding, but his offensive limitations are evident. His hands need improvement, and his defensive rebounding rate lags behind his peers.

Jeremiah Robinson-Earl has been a pleasant surprise, contributing hustle and three-point shooting. However, his role may decrease once Williamson returns. This opens the door for Matkovic, who brings a versatile skill set that includes shooting, rim protection, and rebounding. His ability to stretch the floor could complement Williamson’s game, providing a new dynamic to the Pelicans’ offense.

The decision to tank or compete hinges on the team’s performance in the coming weeks. If they can close the gap in the standings and get healthy, a playoff push is within reach. However, if the losses continue to mount, the Pelicans may need to consider pivoting towards the draft.

For more insights and a deeper dive into the Pelicans’ strategic decisions, tune into the Locked On Pelicans podcast for this and much more.

Other Topics in Today’s Locked On Pelicans Podcast:

- Karlo Matkovic’s potential impact on the Pelicans’ rotation

- The role of Yves Missi as the starting center

- The Pelicans’ injury updates and their impact on the season

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